Planning for Assisted Living Costs Over Time
The Assisted Living Cost Planning Calculator projects long-term care expenses across multiple funding sources. For assisted living at $7,230/month (1.2x location, moderate intensity) over 10 years with 4.5% inflation, the total cost is $1,066,125. With $5,917/mo in combined funding (income, LTC insurance, government benefits, family), there's a $1,313/mo gap — a "Moderate Shortfall" that depletes $100,000 in savings by year 6.3.
The Cost Projection Formulas
Costs are built from base expenses, adjusted by multipliers, then inflated forward:
Base Monthly = Rent + Meals + Care + Medical + Transport + Utilities + Housekeeping + Activities + Amenities
Adjusted Monthly = Base x Location Factor x Care Level Factor x Intensity Factor
Year N Cost = Adjusted Monthly x (1 + Inflation)^(N-1)
Monthly Funding = Income + (LTC Insurance / 12) + Gov Benefits + Family
Monthly Gap = Adjusted Monthly Cost - Monthly Funding
Savings Runway = Current Savings / Monthly Gap
Example: 10-Year Assisted Living Projection
$6,025 base monthly costs, 1.2x location, assisted living, moderate intensity:
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Base Monthly Costs | $6,025 |
| Adjusted Monthly (1.2x location) | $7,230 |
| Year 1 Annual Cost | $86,760 |
| Year 5 Monthly Cost | $8,622 |
| Year 10 Monthly Cost | $10,744 |
| 10-Year Total Cost | $1,066,125 |
| Monthly Funding | $5,917 |
| 10-Year Total Funding | $872,463 |
| Coverage Ratio | 81.8% |
| Monthly Gap | $1,313 |
| Cumulative Gap | $193,662 |
| Savings Runway | 6.3 years |
The $1,313/mo gap grows with inflation — by Year 10, monthly costs reach $10,744 while funding (also inflated) reaches $8,793, widening the gap to $1,952/mo.
Strategies to Close the Funding Gap
The $193,662 cumulative gap over 10 years can be addressed several ways: increasing family contribution by $400/mo eliminates 30% of the gap, switching to a 1.0x location area saves $14,460/year, or choosing low intensity (0.85x) drops monthly costs to $6,146 — below the $5,917 funding level, eliminating the gap entirely. Run multiple scenarios to find the most practical combination.
