The After Repair Value (ARV) Calculator estimates a property's post-renovation market value and determines your maximum offer. With $150/sqft comps on a 1,800 sqft property, the ARV is $270,000. Using the 70% rule with $45,000 in rehab, the Maximum Allowable Offer is $144,000 — yielding $81,000 projected profit (30% of ARV) and 46.7% equity capture. Total investment of $189,000 delivers a 42.9% ROI.
Calculating ARV and Maximum Offer
The ARV is derived from comparable sales, then used to calculate the Maximum Allowable Offer using an investor rule (typically 70%).
ARV = Avg Price per Sqft (Comps) x Subject Property Sqft
MAO = ARV x (MAO Rule / 100) - Rehab Costs
Projected Profit = ARV - Rehab Costs - MAO
Equity Captured = ((ARV - MAO) / ARV) x 100
Rehab % of ARV = (Rehab Costs / ARV) x 100
The 70% rule reserves 30% of ARV for holding costs (5-10%), selling costs (8-10%), and profit. Adjust the percentage based on market conditions and your risk tolerance.
Worked Example: Evaluating a Fix-and-Flip Opportunity
An investor evaluates a distressed property using local comparable sales.
Inputs:
- Avg Price per Sqft (Comps): $150/sqft
- Subject Property Sqft: 1,800 sqft
- Rehab Costs: $45,000
- MAO Rule: 70%
Step-by-step:
- ARV: $150 x 1,800 = $270,000
- MAO: $270,000 x 70% - $45,000 = $189,000 - $45,000 = $144,000
- Projected Profit: $270,000 - $45,000 - $144,000 = $81,000 (30.0% of ARV)
- Equity Captured: ($270,000 - $144,000) / $270,000 = 46.7%
- Rehab % of ARV: $45,000 / $270,000 = 16.7% (moderate rehab)
- Total Investment: $144,000 + $45,000 = $189,000 → 42.9% ROI
At $25/sqft rehab cost and 46.7% equity capture, this deal has strong margins with room to absorb unexpected costs.
When to Adjust the 70% Rule
The 70% rule is a guideline, not gospel. Adjust based on market conditions:
- Hot/appreciating markets (75-80%): Higher MAO acceptable when values are rising. At 75%, the example's MAO becomes $157,500 with $67,500 profit — less margin but still viable if you expect 5%+ appreciation during the hold period.
- Standard markets (70%): The sweet spot for most flips. The example's $81,000 profit at $144,000 purchase provides a 42.9% ROI with strong downside protection.
- Slow/declining markets (60-65%): More conservative to protect against value drops. At 65%, MAO = $130,500 with $94,500 profit potential — but finding sellers at this price is harder.
- Luxury/unique properties: Standard rules may not apply. Longer hold times, higher carrying costs, and smaller buyer pools require deeper margins (55-65%).
